SocialMurderInstitute.org

Researching and publishing data and analysis attributing harms in society to the organizations and policies directly responsible for them.

A program of CastroMedia.org

Muni Ticketing Analysis

See the raw research data here

The implications of the analysis are that the mayor’s agressive strategy of mass arrests and mass ticketing are disproportionately affecting low-income neighborhoods and communities of color. Citations are up significantly since Lurie took office, with the new enforcement disproportionately targeting BIPOC populations.

The analysis shows that the new administration is focusing on different neighborhoods than the previous administration, with a shift in enforcement patterns away from the Tenderloin and towards the Bayview and Excelsior neighborhoods. The Mission is also seeing a significant increase in citations, along with the very public spectacle of mass arrests of dozens and hundreds of people with almost all the cases being thrown out due to a lack of any evidence.

Results:

Enforcement is way up; near triple what it was when Lurie took office.

A line chart shows the increase in enforcement since Lurie took office.

The time of day when enforcement has happened has changed significantly. Instead of targeting morning commuters, Lurie has shifted the attention of his enforcers to the afternoon and evening crowds. This is a significant change in the way that enforcement is being done, and it has implications for the communities that are being targeted.

A heatmap of enforcement data illustrates the shift towards later hours of the day once Lurie took office.

It’s easy to see that enforcement has moved, but what does it mean? Who is affected by these changes?

A geographic heatmap of enformcement shows how Lurie has shifted attention away from white neighborhoods and into minority neighborhoods.

Enforcement is up for all racial groups, but white communities are seeing very little of this growth in enforcement, while the vast majority of the new enforcement is targeting minority racial groups.

A bar chart shows average enforcement per capita for each racial group, with huge increases for black and ingigenous people, and only slight increases for white people.

As a share of new enforcement per capita, the largest portion of the growth is targeting Indigenous communities, and then black communities.

A pie chart shows the same data about percent of new enforcement exposure per capita.